TIPS
Bankroll Management
The simplified money management that I will be refering to everyday is based off your total betting bankroll alloted for the whole NFL, College Football, NBA, and College basketball seasons. Starting college football until the end of the NBA playoffs - 8/23/25 - 6/23/26 - divided by 100% or 100 Units. For example - Bankroll $10,000 / 100 = $100 / %​
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Love = 5%
Like = 3.5%
Light = 2%
- Even the best cappers are only 66% win rate
So only 2/3 chance chance of winning hence the 5% max bet
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Money Management
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- Sports Betting is High Volume Low Yield
- Consistency Vs Getting Rich Quick Mindset
- Less Emotions / More Grind / Less Risk
- New Action / Potential Everyday
- Learn From Your Losses and Harness Your Intuition
- When You're Even You're Up
- It's Not How Much You Won but How Little You Lose
- No Parlays, No first halfs
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Line Movement
- If you're betting a favorite bet it early and if you're betting an underdog bet it last minute.
- Early action is sharp action, later movement is public
- Use soft and hard lines to your advantage
- Shop for the best lines and value
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Tips
- Wait until last minute to avoid injuries reports and major line changes throughout the day.
- Always Buy the Hook
- Use Key Numbers to Your Favor
- Every point you move the spread, your win probability increases about 3%.
- Avoid same game parlays, futures, and prop bets
- Only take series futures if any
- Track your wins and losses
- Track all your amounts
- Track differences between ML, spread, totals
- Track stats between sports
- Refer to Excel to ground self from day to day variance
- Track even if you're in the red
- Bet the Favorite early
- Bet the dog closer to game time
- Bet close to game time in general